Unit 6 · Risk Comes First

R-multiples: the honest scoreboard

Wins and losses in units of risk.

Think in R

1R = the amount you risk per trade (distance to your stop, in money). A win of 2R means you made twice what you risked. Judge months, not trades: ten trades at +1R with four losers at -1R is a +6R month.

OutcomeRExample ($100 risk)
Full stop-out-1R-$100
Scratch / time stop0R$0
Target one+2R+$200
Runner+3.4R+$340

Win rate is not the point

A 40% win rate with 2R winners is comfortably profitable; an 80% win rate with -3R losers is a slow bleed. What matters is the average R across many trades — expectancy.

Quick check

You risk $50 and make $150. In R terms that is…
  • +3R
  • +1.5R
  • +$150R
  • 50%

150 ÷ 50 = 3. R-multiples keep every trade comparable no matter the size.

Which trader is most likely profitable over 100 trades?
  • 35% wins averaging +2.5R, losses -1R
  • 90% wins with -5R losses
  • 50% wins at +0.3R, losses -1R
  • One 100R winner out of 100 losers

0.35×2.5 − 0.65×1 = +0.225R per trade. Positive expectancy, sustained, is the only formula that matters.

Play the interactive version →

This lesson is part of the free learning path at /academy/ — progress, XP and boss games live there.

Educational content only — not financial advice.